|Submited on :||Fri, 7th of Dec 2018 - 05:09:54 AM|
|Post ID :||a3wpm2|
|Post Name :||t3_a3wpm2|
|Post Type :||link|
|Subreddit Type :||public|
|Subreddit ID :||t5_2qhnn|
I find the rhetoric on this article far too alarmist when comparing Merkel with May and Macron. Merkel has been in her position for nearly twenty years now. Is she stepping down due to large weakness and instability? I would argue against this. She is still largely respected in her own party.
In comparison, Theresa May is entirely different: very recently in position, lacking authority, and dealing with a cross-party divisive decision.
Germany's Angela Merkel is ceding control of her party, the U.K.'s Theresa May is poised for a monumental defeat and France's Emmanuel Macron is staring down the worst riots in a generation.
The bottom line: The storm whipping up political chaos across Europe is engulfing the leaders of the continent’s three powers. No one knows what's coming next.
Germany’s Christian Democratic Union has convened in Hamburg to select a new party leader for the first time since Merkel claimed the post 18 years ago.
In London, May is feeling the sting of defeats inflicted in the parliamentary debate over a Brexit bill that looks all but certain to fail, and likely to doom her premiership.
In Paris, Macron has given into the "yellow vest" rebellion but not yet managed to end it.
Change is sweeping across Europe. One leader, Merkel, is leaving the scene voluntarily. Another leader, Macron, is learning the little things such as the price of gas might challenge his leadership. And the third, May, faces Brexit square in the face and perhaps the end of her political career.
Interesting info. In the case of May I think she knew all along delivering brexit could backfire, that why Secretary Johnson and others conservative MPs didn't want the job
Relevant Europe Elects tweet
EU28+US, Europe Elects analysis
Latest approval rating national level (Source)
Merkel (CDU-EPP): 57% (Infratest dimap)
Salvini (LEGA-ENF): 54% (Piepoli)
Trump (GOP-ECR): 43% (YouGov)
May (CON-ECR): 29% (Opinium)
Macron (LREM-ALDE): 23% (Elabe)
Dam Macron at 23% no wonder France is having all those protests going on the last month.
Italian banks are in a very risky position. This August the financial world eyes were on Italy. I do not know why his support is so high.
The world is going for a change and the democracies are fading away. In Eastern Europe the people choose those politicians that will defend their countries from increasingly bad EU policies. In Germany an old premier is trying to find her successor with little success. In Britain populism has reached its peak and in France democracy slowly transitions in an ochlocracy where the anti-systemic Macron is now the face of the system against which the masses fight. The US system becomes increasingly antidemocratic and China returns to its totalitarian roots only to prepare for a future with China in the first place. And meanwhile an old foe plays against the West with hybrid warfare with the hope to weaken the democratic world. The world is changing but we don't know the direction yet.
The world is going for a change and the democracies are fading away.
Who is advocating for the end of the democratic process? We are seeing a strong reactionary movement within our democratic systems, nothing more. We might be seeing the beginning of the end for progressivism and a new dawn for nationalism, but even with that it is too early to call given how quickly these things can swing from one end of the spectrum to another.
Look at the "yellow vests" movement in France. It's an ochlocratic movement that renounce anyone of their "virtual" leaders, who try to make progress through dialogue and get into the political process. What they want is simply to expand the social welfare without seeing the bigger picture - that of the state's finances. And that happens in the context of a world getting into its next financial crisis. In Eastern Europe we have populists. In Russia we have a façade democracy and China dismantles the liberal policies in favour of more totalitarian ones.
Did the population not elect those populists in Eastern Europe? Democracy does not mean liberal or progressive, it can be very exclusionary to outsiders and even authoritarian. If the population wants migrants to be shot at the border and the government does so, it is democratic, horrible yes but democratic nevertheless.
In Germany an old premier is trying to find her successor with little success.
Hmm... Do you know already what will happen today in Hamburg? Merkel's preferred candidate Kramp-Karrenbauer has almost 40% in polls and can be only beaten if the 3rd placed candidate Spahn endorse the 2nd Merz. The election period was from end of October until today. I'm curious what you mean "to find her successor with little success"?
So is the "mini-Merkel" going to win the vote with a clear majority after the big failure of the real one? Will she - the lefty in CDU, be really able to halt the right AfD which profits from every crisis there is and takes more of the traditional CDU votes? Will she be able to stop the disintegration of the EU and bring the Eastern members of the European community closer? Will she stop Northern stream and stop the German-French coalition of proposing bad and detrimental EU laws?
I have my doubts.